Tuesday, December 31, 2024

Everything you need to get right to get to $100m ARR




  • Market/product Fit - product /audience/connection - is your product a painkiller or a vitamin ?
  • Product /channel fit -product aligns with channel behaviour - acquire, convert and retain 
  • Channel/model fit - model is profitable , sustainable and scalable 
  • Model/market fit - model aligns with the market behaviour , predictable, scalable and market acceptance 

#Referron - a case study of note 

Monday, December 30, 2024

Venture Capitalists invest in leading indicators - not lagging indicators!!!




Another great Insite by Michael Ho!

Companies pre revenue raises


Canva $6.6m

Kinde $ 12m 


Why did they invest?

What were they looking for?


They're looking for FUTURE revenue growth 

→ once Canva started making money

→ they went from $0 to $105M in 4 years 🤯


Raising money from VC  is about them believing in your (future) ability to hit Venture Scale


What are the indicators?


  • (historical) traction ?
  • the team
  • some crazy breakthrough
  • What else? 


Why do Many startups fail to get more funding 


Many startups raised - focusing on getting to the next milestone - hit the metrics 

→ Growing 2-3x yoy = successful raise

→ getting to $3M ARR = Series A


And was not enough for a series B…. Why?????


Here is the thing!!?


Revenue is a high level lagging indicator and VCs are looking for the leading indicators to future growth instead


What are the leading indicators to get you from $3-100m 

How do you 

→ grow at 10% mom for 24 months straight

→ and 6% mom for the next 3 years 🚀


Some leading indicators

  • ICP - your ideal customer profile being nailed - and a model to get to them
  • The team and stakeholders
  • Have they done it before 
  • Repeat purchases 
  • Virality
  • Energy
  • growth tactic and stage 
  • gut & intuition on the VCs side - 


So - when VCs say  “you need more traction”It’s bullshit


The Gem


Dig deeper and figure out what leading indicators you need to de-risk


And use that as your roadmap 💪


Article from Michael Ho 


https://www.linkedin.com/posts/themichaelho_canva-raised-a-66m-seed-a-15m-series-activity-7274788934562324480-JAu9?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_ios

Tuesday, December 24, 2024

Only 1pc of startups get to 100m arr - doesn’t mean that your start up is still successful !




A great piece by Michael Ho

1% of VC backed startups will make it past $100M ARR

But does that make the other 99% a failure?

Let’s dig in to the numbers…

I was fortunate to have Chris Tottman introduce me to Stephen Millard who analyzed 117K startups founded between 2005 and 2022
→ Of those 117K startups founded
→ 31% (37K) were VC backed
→ 12% (13K) raised $3M+

Of those 13K startups, 1.8% (243) either made it past $100M ARR and/or achieved a $1B+ exit
→ 0.5% (71) had a $1B+ exit without reaching $100M ARR
→ 1.2% (168) made it past $100M ARR
→ 109 of the 168 did it <10 years

I was excited to talk to Stephen because he shares my deep belief…

💡 Every company is a snowflake, but we should be able to identify the key operating markers of (capital efficient) venture scale growth to give startups a better roadmap and increase the probability of success

Okay...

Let’s talk about the two elephants in the room
🐘 Why do VCs care about $100M if only 1% make it there?
🐘 Does that make the other 99% a failure?

--------

🐘 Why do VCs care about $1M to $100M in 7 to 10 years?

Because venture capital is a power law game

They understand that a VERY small % of companies will make it to $100M and they’re job is to figure out which ones have a better chance of getting there

So that’s the lens they look through

Now…

Because there’s a lot of future risk with every startup, betting on anything less than a *potential* to reach $100M would put a glass ceiling on their fund that goes against their power law objectives

Series A is the inflection point of the venture scale curve and where VCs are trying to build conviction on a startups *potential* to reach $100M

--------

🐘 But does that make the other 99% a failure?

Absolutely not ❌

I like how Stephen phrased it: many companies have great outcomes at smaller revenues, especially if they have not raised too much capital and / or strike a balance between growth and profitability

And this has become my life’s work…
→ I don’t believe venture is a $100M or bust binary game

But we need clearer milestones to truly understand where we are in the journey that we can check ourselves against every month/quarter/year so we can continually make better informed decision on a go-forward basis

The chances of becoming a pro athlete is <1% in any given field

But that doesn’t mean we tell kids not to dream of the big leagues?

Of course not...

But it does mean we need to help them re-evaluate their chances of making it every month/quarter/year

--------

Okay, so where can you start?

Focus on unlocking milestones and keep your cap table as light as possible until you're ready for step 3️⃣

1️⃣ Problem Solution Fit
2️⃣ Go to Market Fit - unlocks Series A
3️⃣ Scale PMF #1 - Series A use of funds
4️⃣ Scale PMF #2

--
♻️ Repost to help a founder in your network

Click 'visit my website' at the top of this post to register for my Seed to Series A session

Michael Ho

Friday, December 20, 2024

Mesoblast gets FDA approval and shares are rocketing



What a great story of persistence, resilience , belief and success 


I look forward to follow this continuing narrative of yet another  Australian innovation!!


Mesoblast (ASX:MSB) has received approval from the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for Ryoncil (remestemcel-L), making it the first mesenchymal stromal cell (MSC) therapy to be approved in the United States for any indication.


Ryoncil is the only FDA-approved therapy for treating steroid-refractory acute graft-versus-host disease (SR-aGvHD) in children.


Peter Marks, director of the FDA’s Centre for Biologics Evaluation and Research, said the approval was a milestone in the use of innovative cell-based therapies to treat life-threatening diseases.


The disease


"Allogeneic stem cell transplant" involves a patient receiving stem cells from a donor. The procedure is used to treat blood cancers (like leukaemia), inherited blood disorders (like sickle cell disease), and immune system deficiencies.


However, such transplants carry a risk of graft-versus-host disease (GvHD), where the donor's immune cells attack the patient’s body. First-line treatment for GvHD is corticosteroids, which suppress the immune system.


Steroid-refractory (SR) GvHD occurs when a patient's GvHD does not improve, or in fact worsens, after three to seven days of high-dose corticosteroids.


Once GvHD becomes steroid-refractory, the condition becomes much harder to treat, and patients face a higher risk of death.


Enter Ryoncil


Ryoncil is a therapy using cells from bone marrow (mesenchymal stromal cells). It's typically administered via intravenous infusion. The MSCs modulate the immune system, inhibiting the activation of T-cells, a type of white blood cell that attacks infected and foreign cells. They also reduce the release of cytokines, which are small proteins that control inflammation.


This mechanism allows Ryoncil to target conditions linked to excessive immune responses, such as aGVHD.


Significant clinical results


The FDA’s approval follows a Phase 3 trial of paediatric patients with SR-aGvHD, of which 89% had severe Grade C or Grade D disease. The trial showed that 70% of patients achieved an overall response by Day 28 of treatment with Ryoncil, a rate that's predictive of survival in cases of aGVHD.


More than 85% of patients completed the full course of Ryoncil treatment without interruption, with no discontinuations due to laboratory abnormalities.


Transplant physician Dr Joanne Kurtzberg, Director of the Marcus Center for Cellular Cures at Duke University Medical Center, commented: “Steroid-refractory acute graft-versus-host disease is a devastating condition with an extremely poor prognosis. From today, we are able to offer Ryoncil, the first FDA-approved treatment which will be life-saving for so many children and will have a great impact on their families."


Commercial significance


The global graft-versus-host disease market has been valued at around US$3bn in 2024 and is projected to reach around US$10bn by 2031.


Chief Executive Dr Silviu Itescu commented: 


“With Ryoncil’s approval by the FDA, Mesoblast has demonstrated the ability to bring the first MSC product to market. We will continue to work closely with the FDA to obtain approval of our other late-stage products, including REVASCOR for cardiovascular diseases and rexlemestrocel-L for inflammatory pain indications.”


With approval secured, Ryoncil will be made available at US transplant centres and other treating hospitals.


Mesoblast also aims to expand Ryoncil’s use to address the adult GvHD market.


Shares in Mesoblast closed 54.04% higher at $3.05 yesterday.  



Friday, November 29, 2024

HCLTECH and BSI Learning forge a strategic partnership


An amazing milestone and alliance was forged today between HCLTECH and BSI Learning.

This has the opportunity to upskill and change lives for the better on so many levels . Improving students lives - giving them opportunities that they did not think possible .

Changing lives and creating generational legacies - one student at a time  

Excited to be part of  the #nexttechrevolution 

This comes a week after the announcement of 
#academyex taking a strategic stake in #bsilearning 

Ivan Kaye says that that these alliances will enable BSI  Learning to reach its full potential .

A classic win win win 




Thursday, November 28, 2024

Looking to leave corporate and join the land of the entrepreneur?



This is a gem that I got from Jerry Engel when I was fortunate to do an entrepreneurship course at HAAS business school in Berkeley 20 years ago

There are 3 things that will make your venture a success 


- you are  solving a real problem - not just by providing a vitamin - but by providing a painkiller 💊!

- your venture is  about serving others

- you know exactly why your solution stands out. You have a clear point of difference ! 



So, If you are looking to build a startup -   ask yourself these 3 questions—


1. What problem are you willing to spend your time solving?

2. Why does solving this problem matter to you personally?

3. Why can’t people live without your solution? Is it a painkiller, vitamin or just a placebo?


Action without vision and clarity  is chaos,.
Vision and clarity without action is hallucination
 Vision with Action is the magic formula!!!

Tuesday, November 26, 2024

academyEX acquired a strategic stake in BSI Learning


Ivan Kaye. “After 20 years of riding the wave of building  BSI Learning ….. it’s time to pass the baton on to academyEX. 
Very proud of what the team at BSI Learning and BSI Digital has built - led by Kala Philip, Simon Dewar and Dylan Chan - and look forward to great things happening from an amazing team”




Sunday, November 24, 2024

Business Rule #1




Great Insite from my friend Peter Knight 

Have something to sell….. that people actually want.
It’s no use having the best breakfast in the world if no one’s hungry!

Ask yourself, about the thing you sell, “Do people actually want this?”

Then, be smart with your marketing. 

- Find your target market.

- Promote it to them.

- And consistently deliver the best breakfast in the world!

Remember, you can only sell what people actually want.

(Not what you think they want).

#marketing #sales #business #businessopportunities #franchise #franchiseopportunities #thefranchiseaccountant

Saturday, November 23, 2024

VC backs cuttable with $5.5m based on people with deep experience who’ve done it before!




Cofounders Sam Kroonenburg, Jack White and Ed Ring have raised $5.5m for their AI-powered adtech startup Cuttable


Seed funding round led by Paul Bassat’s Square Peg and supported by Taryn Pieterse at Rampersand and other strategic angel investors .


Backing people with strong expertise who’ve done it before!

Sam Kroonenburg co-founded A Cloud Guru - an online learning business, and went on to sell it for more than $2 billion in 2021


Jack, Sam and Adam all have deep experience in tech and advertising  and a strong track record of creating cutting-edge solutions”.


Paul Bassett of Square Peg has  joined the board 


What Cuttable does

Cuttable is a “first-of-its-kind automated content agency” that aims to support marketers and agencies marry creative advertising with AI to create high-quality digital ads at scale.


Curable enables  the automation of the creative with AI  - enhancing creativity, optimising ad performance and streamlines the production process - enabling more messages, more personalisation and more targeting –

Customers 


Imagine having the ability to translate a marketing brief into a live ad within a few clicks!! 


Cuttable is already working with Woolworths-owned brand Catch.com.au, and OnePass, and counts the likes of Medibank, Nando’s, Penfolds, Powershop, and DiDi among its clients.


Star trek Comment by Kroonenburg

“It’s about doing what was once impossible, - creating a new frontier in advertising, where technology and creativity converge to deliver unparalleled results for marketers and agencies”.


Thanks Eloise Keating from Smartcompany for the heads up

https://www.smartcompany.com.au/startupsmart/news/sam-kroonenburg-a-cloud-guru-raises-5-5-million-ai-startup-cuttable/

Tuesday, November 19, 2024

From zero to $2.5 billion in 20 years.




It was 20 years ago when Luke Anear started SafetyCulture in his garage  in Townsville and is now stepping down as CEO as it looks to list, after raising $165m in September last year!


What Safetyculture does 


After numerous jobs Luke saw the l impact workplace incidents had on businesses and their employees, and built a simple checklist app for workplace inspections to help reduce hazards and accidents. 


SafetyCulture has since grown into an all-in-one workplace operations platform, serving nearly 2 million customers globally and targeting 100 million users by 2032. 


Its software is predominantly used by frontline workers across construction, manufacturing, hospitality and retail.


Luke will remain  SafetyCulture’s largest shareholder and owns just under a quarter of the company.


Luke’s huge shows will be filled by  Kelly Vohs, who will be based in the USA ahead of a listing! 


Support by the greats 

Canva co-founder Cliff Obrecht , Blackbird partner Rick Baker , Atlassian Scott Farquhar and Kell Reilly of Airtree are among Luke’s inner circle.


The Safety Culture Growth Path 


SafetyCulture has doubled in size in the last 2 years - having  85,000 businesses and close to 2 million users around the world using its platform!! Luke believes that Kelly has what it takes to get to 100m users 


Another game changer -  started in Australia 



See more https://bsivc.blogspot.com/2024/09/safetyculture-hits-home-run-with-airtree.html

Thursday, November 14, 2024

Mesoblast is looking to get FDA approval for Ryonci!





This is pretty exciting !! 
I have recently  invested in Mesoblast (AsX :MSB) - after listening to a great panel discussion with Sarah Murdoch and 3 panelists talking about how medicine is going to change over the next 5 years with the development and x fertilisation of stem, crispr and  AI .

This is what made me invest:- 

Cell therapy company Mesoblast (ASX:MSB) has entered into a convertible note subscription agreement with its largest shareholder, Gregory George, to issue up to US$50 million convertible notes at its discretion.


The issue of the convertible notes is linked to the US

FDA's approval of Mesoblast's lead product candidate, Ryonci (remestemcel-L), for the treatment of children with steroid-refractory acute graft versus host disease (SR-aGHD).


The company said the funding will enable it to implement its go-to-market commercial strategy.It said it expects a decision before or on the FDA's Prescription Drug User Fee Act goal date of 7 January, 2025.


Mesoblast chief executive Silviu Itescu said: "We appreciate the ongoing support from our major shareholder in ensuring that the Company is well capitalised for commercial product launch and can hit the ground running immediately following approval of RYONCIL by FDA."


Mesoblast chief executive Silviu Itescu said: "We appreciate the ongoing support from our major shareholder in ensuring that the Company is well capitalised for commercial product launch and can hit the ground running immediately following approval of RYONCIL by FDA."

Mesoblast said its go-to-market strategy includes hiring senior executives, market access, medical education, and ongoing engagement with key opinion leaders.